Using these observed injury rates, the population benefits from the cycle hire scheme substantially outweighed harms (net change 72 DALYs (95% credible interval 110 to 43) among men using cycle hire per accounting year; 15 (42 to 6) among women; note that negative DALYs represent a health benefit). When we modelled cycle hire injury rates as being equal to background rates for all cycling in central London, these benefits were smaller and there was no evidence of a benefit among women (change 49 DALYs (88 to 17) among men; 1 DALY (27 to 12) among women). This sex difference largely reflected higher road collision fatality rates for female cyclists.
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